Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 12.525797 14.090762 15.847544 17.980090 20.518104 23.466523 27.186979
2025-07-06 10.121734 12.016231 14.308020 17.329615 21.278153 26.364865 33.589580
2025-07-13 9.757548 12.089107 15.085217 19.319130 25.323965 33.830718 47.388288
2025-07-20 9.048643 11.562089 14.938253 19.966178 27.569316 39.208661 59.691249
2025-07-27 8.146038 10.639431 14.096972 19.448409 27.941878 41.754436 68.104707
2025-08-03 7.729602 10.326455 14.048867 20.051050 30.092177 47.566859 84.203972
2025-08-10 7.158977 9.726506 13.499671 19.777104 30.719578 50.829597 96.464148
2025-08-17 6.674795 9.204463 13.005196 19.509552 31.284239 54.063565 109.913962
2025-08-24 6.285436 8.788481 12.628157 19.377991 32.052213 57.851567 126.347700
2025-08-31 5.874030 8.304752 12.096306 18.908801 32.093285 60.110029 139.860738
2025-09-07 5.565826 7.958263 11.754445 18.731181 32.668703 63.681167 159.051663
2025-09-14 5.170966 7.447764 11.100768 17.914500 31.815729 63.723913 167.273329
2025-09-21 4.774183 6.923627 10.408642 17.001238 30.725799 63.196927 174.393900
2025-09-28 4.466801 6.527722 9.908722 16.407110 30.250978 64.173405 188.020934
2025-10-05 4.580820 6.828529 10.630633 18.252069 35.528691 82.194246 287.942817
2025-10-12 4.490068 6.777687 10.723504 18.851200 38.050019 93.506716 374.871581
2025-10-19 4.255980 6.466804 10.319638 18.371839 37.821088 96.130798 417.256387
2025-10-26 4.178141 6.421037 10.400081 18.929743 40.362861 109.112741 552.314756
2025-11-02 4.003140 6.194121 10.123029 18.676189 40.699128 114.428974 642.895140
2025-11-09 3.841719 5.982587 9.860785 18.428463 41.012831 119.864278 750.351742
2025-11-16 3.706314 5.810482 9.662930 18.306619 41.669255 127.052502 901.193091
2025-11-23 3.544793 5.583250 9.343225 17.871901 41.337606 129.980888 1014.378805
2025-11-30 3.423193 5.423056 9.146140 17.707258 41.798300 136.759243 1215.299291